Document Type : Research Paper
Authors
1 Assistant professor in Demography, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran.
2 Assistant professor in Demography, Allameh Tabataba'i University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Associate professor in Demography, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran.
Abstract
The level of total fertility required for the replacement level may vary from country to country and even within geographical regions of the same country. It is not correct to generalize the total fertility rate required for the replacement level for all countries and regions, especially when the regions and countries being compared have significant differences in development. Applying the method of Preston et al. 2003 and using the country's registration and census data from 1385 to 1394, the present study estimated the total fertility rate required for the replacement level in Iran and its various provinces. This index for the year 2013 for the provinces of Sistan and Baluchistan is 2.3, for the provinces of South Khorasan, Chahar Mahal and Bakhtiari, Hormozgan, Kohkiloye and Boyer Ahmad, East Azerbaijan, Ilam, Kermanshah, and Kurdistan it is about 2.2 and for other provinces, it is about 1. 2 children were calculated for each woman. Paying attention to these differences and the importance of the sex ratio at birth, the probability of survival of female children from birth to the average childbearing, are among the topics that should be considered in reaching replacement level fertility in the country.
Keywords
- Replacement level fertility
- age-specific fertility rate
- survival probability of female children
- average maternal age
- fertility of Iranian provinces
Main Subjects
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