Demography
Reza Nobakht; Ahmad Dorahaki; Ali Ghasemi Ardahaee
Abstract
The level of total fertility required for the replacement level may vary from country to country and even within geographical regions of the same country. It is not correct to generalize the total fertility rate required for the replacement level for all countries and regions, especially when the regions ...
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The level of total fertility required for the replacement level may vary from country to country and even within geographical regions of the same country. It is not correct to generalize the total fertility rate required for the replacement level for all countries and regions, especially when the regions and countries being compared have significant differences in development. Applying the method of Preston et al. 2003 and using the country's registration and census data from 1385 to 1394, the present study estimated the total fertility rate required for the replacement level in Iran and its various provinces. This index for the year 2013 for the provinces of Sistan and Baluchistan is 2.3, for the provinces of South Khorasan, Chahar Mahal and Bakhtiari, Hormozgan, Kohkiloye and Boyer Ahmad, East Azerbaijan, Ilam, Kermanshah, and Kurdistan it is about 2.2 and for other provinces, it is about 1. 2 children were calculated for each woman. Paying attention to these differences and the importance of the sex ratio at birth, the probability of survival of female children from birth to the average childbearing, are among the topics that should be considered in reaching replacement level fertility in the country.
Demography
Latif Partovi; Mohammad Shayanmehr
Abstract
The elderly are among the most vulnerable groups during crises and gender is one of the most important factors in this regard. The purpose of this study was to explore gender differences of lived experiences of young elderly people during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Using a qualitative method, 13 young elderly ...
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The elderly are among the most vulnerable groups during crises and gender is one of the most important factors in this regard. The purpose of this study was to explore gender differences of lived experiences of young elderly people during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Using a qualitative method, 13 young elderly people (60-74 years old including 7 men and 6 women) were selected through purposive sampling in Mahabad and interviewed using a semi-structured format. The data were analyzed using Colaizzi method. The results were classified in two themes including "Transformed home and dwindling physical and spiritual powers" for women, and "Social distance and disturbed retirement life" for men. Based on the results, it is concluded that during pandemic older women were exposed to double physical and psychological pressures inside home while men faced increasing in emotional pressure due to not being able to go outside. Therefore, it is suggested that in policy formation, while understanding the different position of young elderly men and women, especially the situation of women, pay more attention to the role of family members and their social support in addition to official supportive measures.
Demography
Farzad Ghorbani; Mohammad Mirzaei; Mohammad Haddadi; Zainab Mohammadi zade
Abstract
In the last few decades, The average age of marriage has had a considerable increase, it seems that such an increase is not due to a change in people’s tendencies. There is a gap between the actual age of marriage and the ideal age for people, and a number of factors have caused the gap to appear. ...
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In the last few decades, The average age of marriage has had a considerable increase, it seems that such an increase is not due to a change in people’s tendencies. There is a gap between the actual age of marriage and the ideal age for people, and a number of factors have caused the gap to appear. The present study aims to examine the determinants of the gap between the actual and the ideal age of marriage. The statistical population of the study consists of those who are at the age of marriage in the province of Kohgiluyeh and Boyer Ahmad. The sample size was 400 people which was based on the proportion of the cities’ population. The results showed that more than 60% of participants experienced a gap between their real and ideal age of marriage. Such a gap has been positive for the majority of people. This means that the percentage of people who postponed the ideal time of their marriage is high. Multivariate analysis indicates that education, value orientation, and employment status affect the real and the ideal age of marriage among men. For women, on the other hand, education, family income, value orientation, and employment status have an impact on the aforementioned gap. Approximately among half of the participants the ideal age of marriage was less than the actual age of their marriage, policymakers can provide the structural prerequisites so that the problem of postponed marriage can be resolved, as it is one of the main concerns of the country. And as evidenced by the study’s findings, people have a positive attitude towards marriage at an early age.
Demography
Javad Shojaei; Amir Erfani
Abstract
One of the results of the fertility rate continuously being below the replacement rate is the prevalence of one-child families, for which there are no exact scientific information in Iran regarding the level of prevalence and trend of change. The present study aims to estimate the level, changes, and ...
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One of the results of the fertility rate continuously being below the replacement rate is the prevalence of one-child families, for which there are no exact scientific information in Iran regarding the level of prevalence and trend of change. The present study aims to estimate the level, changes, and age patterns of one-child families in Iran during 2000-2016. The data from two Tehran Fertility Surveys (2009 and 2014), three Iran’s Demographic and Health Surveys (2000, 2010, 2015), and three censuses (2006, 2011, 2016) were used. Based on the age of married women and number of living children, “definite” and “indefinite” percentages of one-child families were calculated, where the first one referred to married women aged 40-44 or 45-49 with one-child, and the latter referred to those under the age of 40 with one-child. The census results showed that the definite one-child families among women aged 45- 49 increased from 4.4% in 2006 to 5.1% in 2011 and 7.8% in 2016. Similar increasing trends were found from Demographic and Health Surveys and Tehran Fertility Surveys, with a sharper increase in one-child families in Tehran, where the percentage of definite one-child families rose from 3.6% in 2009 to 11.9% in 2014. The estimated levels of one-child families from different sources of data confirmed valid and reliable increasing trends of one-child families in Iran. Key words: One-child Family, Definite One-child Families, Indefinite One-child Families, Fertility Rate.